Ministry
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Methods

The BMBF's Foresight Process has employed a combination of classical foresight methods using additional innovative elements and monitoring methods.

Combination of methods in the BMBF's Foresight Process

The Foresight Process includes different approaches and methods which can be combined to meet individual objectives. In Cycle 1, an integrated approach has been chosen: The combination of methods applied included classical foresight methods with additional innovative elements as well as monitoring activities.
Quantitative approaches such as data mining and bibliometric analyses have been combined with qualitative studies within the framework of structured searches. The qualitative studies have included, for example, inventor scouting, policy analysis, Internet and literature searches, recent elements in workshops (e.g. journeys through time) and an intensive expert discourse. The process has been accompanied by an international Monitoring Panel with specialist competence networks in order to prepare approved information in a systematic and continuous manner and integrate this information in the process.This illustration depicts four puzzle pieces that represent the combination of methods used in the BMBF's Foresight Process: Desk Research, Expert Opinion, Data Bases Bibliometrics, and Policy Analysis.

 

 

Combination of methods in the BMBF's Foresight Process

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