topic Ministry

Foresight Cycle 2

While Cycle 1 evaluated the future from a technological perspective ("technology push") and provided comprehensive insight into areas of elevated scientific and technological activity and future relevance, Cycle 2 focuses on a demand perspective ("demand pull") and connects BMBF Foresight more deeply with the mission-orientated approach pursued by the High-Tech Strategy.

The second BMBF Foresight Cycle is divided into three steps, which are conducted partly sequentially, partly in parallel:

1. Inventory: Until spring 2013 broad trends in demand ("demand pull") will be determined and evaluated. Amongst other areas, results from research in social sciences and humanities will be included with the developments in society and economy along with results from interviews with lead users and persons who exhibit a particular openness to socio-cultural changes ("antennas").The goal, above all, is to include fringe issues - hidden trend developments ("hidden trends") and neglected phenomena - into the analysis. This creates an opportunity to identify entirely new requirements.

2. Updating: Until autumn 2013, the technology-orientated results ("technology push") of Foresight Cycle 1 (search phase: 2007-2009) will be updated, and previously neglected topics will be added. In particular, the perspectives of further disciplines such as the cultural, social, and political sciences will be recorded and evaluated with respect to their relevance to the research policy.

3. Linking: Finally, until spring 2014 the demand- and technology-driven perspectives will be combined and linked to scenarios to point out future areas within research and science which have the greatest solution potential.

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  topic Ministry

  Current developments

  Here, we would like to provide you with information on the current status of the work under the BMBF Foresight Process. For example, you will find information on the progress of the foresight activities. more (URL: http://www.bmbf.de/en/12823.php)